Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.056692 0.067260 0.079124 0.093410 0.110130 0.129061 0.152103
2025-04-13 0.038672 0.051662 0.067925 0.089707 0.118036 0.153545 0.201336
2025-04-20 0.030194 0.044262 0.063437 0.091314 0.130613 0.183810 0.261017
2025-04-27 0.024387 0.038647 0.059509 0.091971 0.140868 0.211345 0.320081
2025-05-04 0.020209 0.034291 0.056207 0.092381 0.150073 0.237819 0.380443
2025-05-11 0.017264 0.031150 0.053991 0.093725 0.160381 0.266678 0.447530
2025-05-18 0.015300 0.029191 0.053215 0.097034 0.173954 0.301912 0.528642
2025-05-25 0.012730 0.025645 0.049097 0.093878 0.175991 0.318229 0.580224
2025-06-01 0.011064 0.023443 0.046952 0.093771 0.183118 0.343702 0.650081
2025-06-08 0.009547 0.021233 0.044406 0.092450 0.187686 0.364945 0.714577
2025-06-15 0.008655 0.020130 0.043806 0.094737 0.199261 0.400096 0.808362
2025-06-22 0.007578 0.018429 0.041717 0.093675 0.204021 0.422773 0.880810
2025-06-29 0.006524 0.016609 0.039142 0.091320 0.206048 0.440791 0.947188
2025-07-06 0.005564 0.014825 0.036362 0.088105 0.205842 0.454347 1.006339
2025-07-13 0.005068 0.014077 0.035804 0.089774 0.216435 0.491360 1.118272
2025-07-20 0.004573 0.013234 0.034880 0.090440 0.224832 0.524591 1.225790
2025-07-27 0.004125 0.012428 0.033915 0.090847 0.232653 0.557384 1.335902
2025-08-03 0.003777 0.011824 0.033357 0.092170 0.242804 0.596479 1.464362
2025-08-10 0.003550 0.011525 0.033546 0.095428 0.258099 0.649030 1.629325
2025-08-17 0.003089 0.010438 0.031439 0.092321 0.256976 0.662822 1.704714
2025-08-24 0.002797 0.009808 0.030495 0.092216 0.263569 0.695875 1.829888
2025-08-31 0.002499 0.009096 0.029194 0.090916 0.266813 0.721004 1.938251
2025-09-07 0.002342 0.008819 0.029135 0.093167 0.279995 0.772559 2.118252